Lessons from History:Journalism and the Japan-      US-China Triple Relationships


 Restructing the U.S.-Japan Security Relations:Tokyo Conference



                Okazaki Institute/:Pacific Forum CSIS
 Sponsored:The U.S.-Japan Foundation/The Japan Foundation/The Yomiuri Shinbun

                     January 11-13, 1997


          Radm. Dr. Yoichi Hirama(Ret.) Professor of Naval History
        Department of Maritime Defense Sciences National Defense Academy


Introduction

        The attitude of China, destined to be the pre-eminent power in Asia in the 21st century, holds the key to the stability of East Asia Japan and the United States can influence the China's course of action, and a strong alliance between the two is regarded as critically important for the peace prosperity of the Asian-Pacific region and on. In November 1996 president Bill Clinton re-emphasized the importance of the US-Japan alliance in a speech to the Australian Parliament in which he said: The alliance between the United States and Japan, a democratic country that has achieved economic prosperity, is one of the greatest undertakings of the postwar period. This spring, Prime Minister Hashimoto and I signed a Joint Declaration of US Japan Security. The military presence of the United States and Japan's continued support in deepening the defense partnership between the two countries will further contribute to the peace and stability of the Asian and Pacific region.

       However, in the American media articles criticizing Japan have increased almost in proportion to America's increasing interest in China. And following the Hashirnoto-Clinton Joint Declaration China's claims on Japan for Japanese war criminals escalated. Recent past criticism of Japan has changed from the simple "Japan is alien" to issues of racial discrimination by the United States. Today, however, criticism against Japan in the United States is focusing on issues, posed by China and pro-China lobby, of Japan’s responsibilities for wars, including the the Nanking Incident and the use of "comfort women" (the mainly Korean women to provide sex for Japanese soldiers in military brothels during World War II.1 This paper aims to analyze anti-Japanese in the United States from an historic point of view, identify the mechanisms that led to the formation of such opinions, and seek lessons that are relevant for the present time.

1. US-Japan Crisis and Reasons
(1) United States and Japan in crisis 1910 - 19202


        The first US-Japan crisis in which anti-Japanism played a role was systematically played up in newspapers owned by newspaper magnate William Randolph Hearst, and in Cosmopolitan, the magazine. The issues were a segregation order against Japanese schoolboys issued by the City of San Francisco in October 1906 after the end of the Russo-Japanese War an the Alien Land Law of California proposed by the State of California in 1913. Hearst urged the reinforcement of naval power by sending Congressman Richmond P. Hobson, a Captain in the reserves and a hero of the Santiago Blockade all over the United States advocating anti-Japanism and Japanophobia. Between 1915 and 1920, Banzai by F.H. Gautof, The Battle for tbe Pacific by Rowan Stevens, and The Valor of Ignorance by Homer Lea were published, with the latter attracting the most attention. In the Valor of Ignorance in which Lea wrote about the Japanese race, he claimed that there were no social, racial and cultural factors that could cut through the confrontation between the United States and Japan, and that the problems between the two were divided along the axis of race. He wrote: “Racially, there exists no relationship between the people of Japan and of the United States. And the perverse reluctance of man to forget his own tribal gods and fetishes postpones to such a remote time the assimilation of these two nations that it cannot now be considered."

        He went on: “"Japan is militarily supreme in the Pacific and industrially the controlling factor in Asia. And in due course with the mastery of the major portion of the undeveloped wealth of the earth, Asiatic militancy and industrialism shall reign supreme in this world and the Mikado shall become the Mikado of kings." He stressed the necessity of a military buildup, pointing out the military weakness of the United States and stating that if a war broke out Japan could dispatch 200,000 troops within four weeks, 500,000 within four months, and more than one million within 10 months. The invasion would start from Hawaii and the Philippines and occupy all states east of the Rocky Mountains, including Alaska, Washington, Oregon, and Califomia.3

        When the Segregated Education Order was issued, Japanese newspapers quoted radical speeches made at anti-American protest meetings United States. Then the Zimmermann Incident occurred, in which Arthur von Zimmermann, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Germany, sent a telegram to the German ambassador to Mexico ordering him to negotiate with the Mexican government, then with the Japanese ambassador to Mexico. This leaked telegram deepened America's suspicion and distrust of Japan.7

(2) United States and Japan in crisis in the 1920s
 8

        With the end of World War I and the removal of Germany as the common enemy of Japan and the United States, the anti-Japanese movement revived and Hearst-influenced newspapers reported that Japan was a maniac for domination of the world" and a "threat to crvilization " Anti-Japanism changed from agitation for the exclusion of Japanese to outright Japanophobia. This anti-Japanism was based on the “Yellow Peril" sentiment utilized by Germany to divide Japan and Britain during the war. It was also played up by those who desired a military buildup to check the advances Japan had made into China during World War I and to curb the reduction in their own arms that accompanied the end of the war. In April 1924, the Japanese Emigrants Prohibition Bill was approved. Because this bill was approved immediately after the conclusion of the Washington Treaty, the impact on Japan was great and anti-American protests spread nationwide. This movement started with an anti-American national rally in Tokyo sponsored by Ryohei Uchida on April 20, 1924.

        On June 5, 80,000 people part~'cipated in a protest meeting sponsored by the Kokuryukai and held at Kokugikan. The radi'cal sentiments expressed at this meeting included "war with the United States is Japan's inevitable fate," "Japan should organize a great volunteer army to lead the colored races," and "Japan should fight even if defeat Is mewtable " This movement later grew and various incide nts occurre d s uch as an intrusion by right-wing ze alots into a dance party at the Imperial HoteL dock workers' refusal to load or unload American cargoes in Yokohama, boycotts of American films, a movement to stop subsidies to American-afffliated schools, a protest hara-kixi in front of the American Embassy, theft of a nati'onal flag from the American Embassy, and an assault on the American consul at Yokohama. The fever began to calm from July I when the government showed a calm response to the incidents However, Japan's nati'onal humiliation was one factor later in encouraging  Japan to leave the Washington System and venture into the Pacific War.

(3) United States and Japan in crisis in the 1930s (9)

        The next US~iapan crisis broke out in 1932. This started with the Manchurian Incident and reached a peak with the Shanghai Incident. Expressing the United States' Non-Recogniti'on Doctrine, US Secretary of State Henry L. Stimson declared in January 1932 that "the United States cannot support anylhing that violates the tradi'tional policies of the United States and her present treati'es and agreements." America's threatening atti'tude, underlain by the fact that the Atlanti'c Fleet remained on the West Coast after the completion of maneuvers, combined with excessive sympathy toward China and criticism against Japan in the American media to stimulate Japanese public opinion already oversensiti've in the wake of the Manchurian Incident, and a crisis broke out.

       This crisis was inflamed by the newspaper secti'on of the Ministfy of War and secti'ons of the right wing movement, by Toslu'o Shirator~ Chi'ef of the Information Bureau, Ministry of Foreign Afiiairs, and by Kaku Mori, Vice Secretary-General of the Seiyukai These parties sought to maintain nati'onal tension until they had acquired a large budget for the army and settled the Manchurian Incident. In the 1930s, however, against a background of intensified confrontati'on with the United States centering on the Chinese market, the United States became to be seen as a deadly enemy in Japan. The image ofAmerica as an inevitable enemy was based on the idea that America's expansion west since the founding of the country had finally crossed the Pacific Ocean and reached Asia, resulting in oppression of the Asian peoples.

        However, this was right after the United States had experienced the Great Depression. In addi'tion, the Japanese people were infiuenced by several books including SOSAJne~ica by Takeshi Kinwra, and IZle F~l sto~y of De~:aded Ameriica by Kazuo Yamauchi These helped change public opinion from a convicti'on of certain defeat in any war against her as expressed in lhi's Battle by Hironori Mizuno in 1914, to confidence in Japan's invincibih'ty in a war with the United States. This confidence, wlu'ch underestimated the real power of the United States, was bolstered by books like 11le US Un wortby ofFear by Tadahiko lkezaki and A Forecast of tbe hltulle of tbe Japaa-US Wal:.' A Nove] by Kyosnke Fukunaga CThnode," the magazine). These established an image of the TUnited States as a huge but "spintless countr3/' and a "country in trouble."

This underestimation of the United States and repeated racial discrirnination produced a feeling among the Japanese that a war between Japan and America was unavoidable and helped lead Japan into the Pacific War. 2. Analysis ofAnti-Americanism and Anti-Japanism The reasons why antiJapanism appeared in the United States were varied, as described above. Internati'onal relati'ons or the "enviroument of the times" played a strong background role Moreover this antiJ: ' ・ , apamsm was amplified by third oountu'es seeking internati'onal advant~ge by promoting the 'Yellow Peril" and utilizing antiJapanism or Japanophobia. In additi'on, the indus trial world and th mili e tary authorities, wlu'ch would benefit by boosting arms in their own countries, and newspapers, which sought to boost circulation, fanned the flames. This paper will consider the China factor (based on its philosophy "to control foreign countries by making the most of foreign countries") in relati'on to USJapan cnses.

(1) Military buildup and the Chinese market

  Rear Admiral Alfred Thayer Mahan advocated the following view of sea power: "An increase in sea power necessitates overseas markets and marine transportati'on develops to link products with markets. However, since international laws are not universally observed, a navy is necessary to protect marine transportati'on, trade, and the markets. The country that controls the ocean controls the world's wealth and history. Sea power brings prosperity and wealth to a counby."(lo) In 1910 Mahan wrote an article entitled 'The Open Door Poli'cy," in whi'ch he pointed out the necessity of reinforcing naval armaments by connecting se~a power and the Chinese market・ "As l . ong as the tension in Europe continues, England and Germany cannot spare large troop strengths to the Pacffic. Therefore, the countri'es responsible for the balance of power in the Pacific are the United States and Japan alone. Japan has advantage in trade because of its locati'on close to China and Manchuria, and Japan is pursuing this advantage... It is clear that the purpose of the Japan-Russo Cooperati've Agreement concluded recently is to oppose the suggested neutralizati'on of the Manchurian Railways sub mitte d by Secretary of State Philander C Knox."(n)

        Mahan's ideas on sea power were supported by politi'cians like Henry C. Lodge, an enthusiastic supporter of the navy who became a chairman of the di'plomati'c committee and greatly contributed to the establishment of the Japanese Emigrants Prohr'bition Bill in 1924, and  Senator John T. Morgan. Mahan ako enjoyed support from other influential figures like Albert Show, chief editbr of the magazine lieview oflieviews, and Charles A Dana, chief edi'tor of the New York San.(12) With the support of such opinion leaders, the 'The Open Door Poh'c~' became a '~)ible of American di' plomacy."(13)

        Moreover, the start of World War I and the Japanese navy's occupation of the South Sea Islands reinforced the perceived threat of Japan, whose 2 1 demands on China fhrther soured Alnerican sentiment toward Japan. These demands triggered sympathy in the United States, always ready tc support the underdog, for China. Anti-Japanese feeling grew and racist and pro-Chinese demands for the exclusion of Japanese intensified. Supporters of a US military buildup took advantage of this sentiment. After China accepted the Turenty-One Demands, Philander C. Knox, the former secretary of state, stated that "Japan s acti~ons toward China strengthened Americans' awareness of the necessity of armament," and newspapers argued that if the United States neglected its nati'onal defense, it would become a second China.(14)

       When the Japanese cruiser Asama was stranded in the Magdarena Bay in Mexico while pursuing the German Far Eastern Squadron upon the request of Britain, Thomas F. Minard, a scholar capitalizing on antiJapanism,linked the requirements of the Turenty-One Demands to a US naval buildup, pointing out that the "strandin~' occurred .during negotiati'ons on the Turenty-One Demands. He beh'eved that Japan intentionally stranded Asama in the Magdarena Bay, ideally located for controlling the Panama Canal, to prevent the United States from interfering in the Tarenty-One Demands, and to exert pressure on the United States by tying up seven or eight warslu'ps for salvage operati'ons. Since the United States did not have the naval power to stand up to Japan at the time, it could not take the tough atu'tude that could have saved China. This was the interpretation placed on the stranding by the North Amelican Bevdow, a high-quality magazine with a well-established reputation.(15)

(2) The Mirage of the Chinese market

      Expanding trade with China, seen as a huge market, was a consistent goal of the United States. Indeed, one of the purposes of Commodore Perry's expedi'tion to Japan in the mid 19th century was to expand trade with China.Pressing west was also an ambiti'on of the US ,navy and was in accordance with Mahan's ideas on sea power. On the other hand, Japan, wln'ch had the greatest vested interest in China, had resisted the American ("westward ho!") push to protect its own  interests. That is, Japan and the United States had been in competi'tion for the Chinese market since the time of Commodore Perry. The only measures taken by the United States, wlu'ch was late in discovering the Chinese market, were either imperialisti'c acti'on like the West European countu'es, alliances with West Europe such as Japan had concluded (the AngloJapanese Aniance), or non-politi'cal measures such as advocating the principles of an "open door and equal opportunit~/' for all nati'ons. Since the policies pursued by the United States were capitalisti'c, however, the United States became entangled in the comph'cated intemational politi'cs of China, and confrontation between the United States and Japan deepened.

       But did the Chinese market, access to whi'ch had been a long-cherished US desire since the time of John Hay, li've up to US expectations? Did Alnerica's investment in the Chinese market and trade with China materially profit the United States? Japan and the United States, parti'cularly the latter, used diplomacy backed by abundant dollars, convinced of a bright future in China. From 1920 through 1940, US investment in China oontinued to surpass Japanese investment in that counby, with total US investment rhore than three times Japan's. However, the US volume of trade with China was only a half to one third of Japan's trade volume with China. History teaches that US investment in and trade with China was nothing but a mirage (see the table below), and that competi'tion between Japan and the United States over the Chinese market brought no profits and only deepened the confrontati'on between the two countries. 88

(3) Chinese di'plomacy (Controling foreign countn'es by utilizing foreign countri'es)

         In the background to the worsening of US-Japan tensions and the confli'ct between the United States and Japan were the maneuverings of a third country determined to gain profit by ah'enating the two. Germany, whi'ch belatedly began competing for colonies, calculated that if Russia turned its eyes to the Orient, not only would there be confrontation between Britain and Russia, but Russian advancement into the Balkans or the Middle and Near Eas t would be checked. In 1895 when the S~noJ~2p~ne~:~ W~r w:~s cJos~ lo Asia would eventually Ime up behind Japan, and Europe would be invaded by a united 'Yellow PeriL" Wilhelm 11 commissioned artist H. Knackfuss to paint a picture depicting the 'Yellow Penl", and presented the picture to Nikolai II, the Emperor of Russia with the advice that the Christian countu'es should rise against "the pagan Oriental races."(18)

        This resulted in the Th'ple Interventi'on of Germany, France and Russia against Japan after the Sino-Japanese War. 'Yellow Peril" fever was disseminated in the United States after being endorsed by Germany, France and Russia whi'ch exerclsed the ri'ple Interventi'on When the Segregated Schoolboys Educati'on Order was declared in 1904, German correspondents in Washington and London exaggerated events in the United States in their reports home to German newspapers. For example, they reported that Anibassador Shuzo Aoki had sent an ultimatum-like document to the US government in protest at the schoolboys problem in California.(19) The following month, November 1906, Ie Matiz2 of Paris reported under the headline 'War in the Pacific" that Japan would soon declare war against the United States and launch an invasion reaching the West Coast of the US mainland, starting from the Phili'ppines. Almost simultaneously, the Bout:se Ga216tte of Petersburg reported that Japan would declare war before the United States completed its naval expansion plan and the Panama Canal was opened.(20)

         Thus provocati'on by Germany seekng to advance its own ends was closely related to the antiJapanism propagated from 1910 through the 1920s. On the other hand, the antiJapanism in the 1930s was amplified by Russian scheming utilizing the Comintern and by China's unique approach of "controlling foreign countn'es by utilizing foreign countn'es." This caused mutual hatred in easily persuadable people in both the United States and Japan, ah'enated both countries, and led them to the Pacific War. Owen Lattimore, who was in the forefront of the anti~iapanism of the 1930s, became so acti've as to win the epithet "the leader of anti~iapanism." Lattimore was cln'ef editor of Pad~icA~~~:s, an organ of the Insti'tute of Pacific Relations founded by the YMCA and was also editor of the pro-Communist Amerasja founded to support China against Japanese invasion. Lattimore enjoyed very close relatl'ons with the Chinese Communist Party.(21)

         Viadimir I. Lenin beh'eved that if colonies and colonizers could be separated, a revoluti'on would break out in Europe, severing the profits from colonies, and advocated urging colonies to launch independence movements. This combined with China's strong nati'onalism tc develop into Chinese-style
communism under Mao Ze-dong, and into an anti~lapanese movement. From the 1930s to 1940s many Americans including Lattimore supported the Chinese Communist Party, beh'eving wrongly that it was an advanced agrarian reform or agrarian democrati'c movement in contrast to the Soviet-style communist party. They also saw the anti~lapanese movelnent as a racial 90 independence movement.

         One of the most important historical lessons of USJapan relati'ons is the 'mirror effecf' -- a tendency to escalate criti'cism by repeating mutual overreactions of those criticisms because of poor understanding between the two countries. The United States and Japan share a history of almost coming to blows because of mutual misunderstanding. In additi'on, China heightened the hostile sentilnent between the United States and Japan through skillful diplomatic strategies and the utilization of public opinion based on the ideas expressed in SLln Tsu, 17leArt of Wal:,(22) such as "to win 100 victories in 100 battles is not the acme of skill; to subdue the enemy without fighting is the acme of skill." Sun Teu also said, "what is of supreme importance in war is to attack the enemy's strategy; next best is to disrupt his alliances; and the next best is to attack his army. The worst policy is to attack citi'es. Attack citi'es only when there is no alternati've."

Conclusion

       Finally, even in the 1930s when anti-Japanism prevailed, some intellectuals, sensible journalists, and people in financial and religious circles understood the internal condi'ti'ons of China and regarded Japan as "the only stable power in the Far East able to keep peace in Asia." In 1935 one of these,Van A MacMurray, American Ainbassador to China submitted " IZze Developments A~~ectiag Acaerican Poh'cyh the Far East to the Department of State." However, his opinions were shelved by Stanley K Hornbeck, who was in charge of the Far East poh'cy and an anti'Japanese hawk Currently the United States is highly interested in the Chinese market and China is being excessively nati:onalisti'c. I would like to conclude by introducing MadMurray's memorandum, which looks back over Japan's entry into the War, and contains suggesti'ons that may be extremely useful in considering future relati'ons between the United States and Japan.(23)

        MacMurray states that the Washington System was torpedoed not by Japan, but by China and the great powers of the West led by the United States. He says that China weakened the Washington System because domesti'c elements used nationalism as a domesti'c and foreign poli'cy plank on wlu'ch to extend their own influence. Although the United States did not have 91The United States as a huge but "spintless countr3/' and a "country in trouble." This underestimation of the United States and repeated racial discrirnination produced a feeling among the Japanese that a war between Japan and America was unavoidable and helped lead Japan into the Pacific War.

2. Analysis ofAnti-Americanism and Anti-Japanism

      The reasons why antiJapanism appeared in the United States were varied, as described above. Internati'onal relati'ons or the "enviroument of the times" played a strong background role Moreover this antiJapamsm was amplified by third oountu'es seeking internati'onal advant~ge by promoting  the 'Yellow Peril" and utilizing antiJapanism or Japanophobia. In additi'on, the indus trial world and th mili e tary authorities, wlu'ch would benefit by boosting arms in their own countries, and newspapers, which sought to boost circulation, fanned the flames. This paper will consider the China factor (based on its philosophy "to control foreign countries by making the most of foreign countries") in relati'on to USJapan cnses.

(1) Military buildup and the Chinese market

       Rear Admiral AVied Thayer Mahan advocated the following view of sea power: "An increase in sea power necessitates overseas markets and marine transportati'on develops to link products with markets. However, since international laws are not universally observed, a navy is necessary to protect marine transportati'on, trade, and the markets. The country that controls the ocean controls the world's wealth and history. Sea power brings prosperity and wealth to a counby."(lo) In 1910 Mahan wrote an article entitled 'The Open Door Poli'cy," in whi'ch he pointed out the necessity of reinforcing naval armaments by connecting se~a power and the Chinese market・ "As l ong as the tension in Europe continues, England and Germany cannot spare large troop strengths to the Pacffic. Therefore, the countri'es responsible for the balance of power in the Pacific are the United States and Japan alone. Japan has advantage in trade because of its locati'on close to China and Manchuria, and Japan is pursuing this advantage... It is clear that the purpose of the Japan-Russo Cooperati've Agreement concluded recently is to oppose the suggested neutralizati'on of the Manchurian Railways sub mitte d by Secretary of State 8e

        Philander C Knox."(n) Mahan's ideas on sea power were supported by politi'cians like Henry C. Lodge, an enthusiastic supporter of the navy who became a chairman of the di'plomati'c committee and greatly contributed to the establishment of the Japanese Emigrants Prohr'bition Bill in 1924, and  Senator John T. Morgan. Mahan ako enjoyed support from other influential  figures like Albert Show, chief editbr of the magazine lieview oflieviews, and Charles A Dana, chief edi'tor of the New York San.(12) With the support of such opinion leaders, the 'The Open Door Poh'c~' became a '~)ible of Americandi' plomacy."(13)

        Moreover, the start of World War I and the Japanese navy's occupation of the South Sea Islands reinforced the perceived threat of Japan, whose 2 1 demands on China fhrther soured Alnerican sentiment toward Japan. These demands triggered sympathy in the United States, always ready tc support the underdog, for China. Anti-Japanese feeling grew and racist and pro-Chinese demands for the exclusion of Japanese intensified. Supporters of a US military buildup took advantage of this sentiment. After China accepted the Turenty-One Demands, Philander C. Knox, the former secretary of state, stated that "Japan s acti~ons toward China strengthened Americans' awareness of the necessity of armament," and newspapers argued that if the United States neglected its nati'onal defense, it would become a second China.(14)

        When the Japanese cruiser Asama was stranded in the Magdarena Bay in Mexico while pursuing the German Far Eastern Squadron upon the request of Britain, Thomas F. Minard, a scholar capitalizing on antiJapanism,linked the requirements of the Turenty-One Demands to a US naval buildup, pointing out that the "strandin~' occurred .during negotiati'ons on the Turenty-One Demands. He beh'eved that Japan intentionally stranded Asama in the Magdarena Bay, ideally located for controlling the Panama Canal, to prevent the United States from interfering in the Tarenty-One Demands, and to exert pressure on the United States by tying up seven or eight warslu'ps for salvage operati'ons. Since the United States did not have the naval power to stand up to Japan at the time, it could not take the tough atu'tude that could have saved China. This was the interpretation placed on the stranding by the North Amelican Bevdow, a high-quality magazine with a well-established reputation.(15) 87

2) The Mirage of the Chinese market

       Expanding trade with China, seen as a huge market, was a consistent goal of the United States. Indeed, one of the purposes of Commodore Perry's expedi'tion to Japan in the mid 19th century was to expand trade with China. Pressing west was also an ambiti'on of the US ,navy and was in accordance with Mahan's ideas on sea power. On the other hand, Japan, wln'ch had the greatest vested interest in China, had resisted the American ("westward ho!") push to protect its own interests. That is, Japan and the United States had been in competi'tion for the Chinese market since the time of Commodore Perry. The only measures taken by the United States, wlu'ch was late in discovering the Chinese market, were either imperialisti'c acti'on like the West European countu'es, alliances  with West Europe such as Japan had concluded (the AngloJapanese Aniance), or non-politi'cal measures such as advocating the principles of an "open door and equal opportunit~/' for all nati'ons. Since the policies pursued by the United States were capitalisti'c, however, the United States became entangled in the comph'cated intemational politi'cs of China, and confrontation between the United States and Japan deepened.

        But did the Chinese market, access to whi'ch had been a long-cherished US desire since the time of John Hay, li've up to US expectations? Did Alnerica's investment in the Chinese market and trade with China materially profit the United States? Japan and the United States, parti'cularly the latter, used diplomacy backed by abundant dollars, convinced of a bright future in China. From 1920 through 1940, US investment in China oontinued to surpass Japanese investment in that counby, with total US investment rhore than three times Japan's. However, the US volume of trade with China was only a half to one third of Japan's trade volume with China. History teaches that US investment in and trade with China was nothing but a mirage (see the table below), and that competi'tion between Japan and the United States over the Chinese market brought no profits and only deepened the confrontati'on between the two countries. 88
US Investment in Japan and China(16)
(Unit: $1,000)
Country 1930 1936 1 940
China 129.768 90. 593 46. 136
Japan 61.450 46.694 37.671

Year 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1941
Export
Japan 22 41 378 230 165 203 227 60
China 16 16 1 46 94 90 38 78 95
Im port
Ja pan 66 99 415 384 279 153 158 78
C hina ' 30 40 193 169 101 64 93 87
Amount of US trade with Japan and China(1~
(Unit: $1 million)

(3) Chinese di'plomacy ("controlhrLg foreign countn'es by utilizing foreign countri'es') and the United States
In the background to the worsening of US-Japan tensions and the confli'ct between the United States and Japan were the maneuverings of a third country determined to gain profit by ah'enating the two. Germany, whi'ch belatedly began competing for colonies, calculated that if Russia turned its eyes to the Orient, not only would there be confrontation between Britain and Russia, but Russian advancement into the Balkans or the Middle and Near Eas t would be checked. In 1 895 when the S~noJ~2p~ne~:~ W~r w:~s cJos~ lo Asia would eventually Ime up behind Japan, and Europe would be invaded by a united 'Yellow PeriL" Wilhelm 11 commissioned artist H. Knackfuss to paint a picture depicting the 'Yellow Penl", and presented the picture to Nikolai II , the Emperor of Russia with the advice that the Christian countu'es should rise against "the pagan Oriental races."(18) This resulted in the Th'ple Interventi'on of Germany, France and Russia against Japan after the Sino-Japanese War. 'Yellow Peril" fever was disseminated in the United States after being endorsed by Germany, France and Russia whi'ch exerclsed the ri'ple Interventi'on. When the Segregated Schoolboys Educati'on Order was declared in 1904,

       German correspondents in Washington and London exaggerated events in the United States in their reports home to German newspapers. For example,they reported that Anibassador Shuzo Aoki had sent an ultimatum-like document to the US government in protest at the schoolboys problem in California.(19) The following month, November 1906, Ie Matiz2 of Paris reported under the headline 'War in the Pacific" that Japan would soon declare war against the United States and launch an invasion reaching the West Coast of the US mainland, starting from the Phili'ppines. Almost simultaneously, the Bout:se Ga216tte of Petersburg reported that Japan would declare war before the United States completed its naval expansion plan and the Panama Canal was opened.(20)

       Thus provocati'on by Germany seekng to advance its own ends was closely related to the antiJapanism propagated from 1910 through the 1920s. On the other hand, the antiJapanism in the 1930s was amplified by Russian scheming utilizing the Comintern and by China's unique approach of "controlling foreign countn'es by utilizing foreign countn'es." This caused mutual hatred in easily persuadable people in both the United States and Japan, ah'enated both countries, and led them to the Pacific War. Owen Lattimore, who was in the forefront of the anti~iapanism of the 1930s, became so acti've as to win the epithet "the leader of anti~iapanism." Lattimore was cln'ef editor of Pad~icA~~~:s, an organ of the Insti'tute of Pacific Relations founded by the YMCA and was also editor of the pro-Communist Amerasja founded to support China against Japanese invasion. Lattimore enjoyed very close relatl'ons with the Chinese Communist Party.(21)

       Viadimir I. Lenin beh'eved that if colonies and colonizers could be separated, a revoluti'on would break out in Europe, severing the profits from colonies, and advocated urging colonies to launch independence movements. This combined with China's strong nati'onalism tc develop into Chinese-style
communism under Mao Ze-dong, and into an anti~lapanese movement. From the 1930s to 1940s many Americans including Lattimore supported the Chinese Communist Party, beh'eving wrongly that it was an advanced agrarian reform or agrarian democrati'c movement in contrast to the Soviet-style communist party. They also saw the anti~lapanese movelnent as a racial 90
independence movement.One of the most important historical lessons of USJapan relati'ons is the 'mirror effecf' -- a tendency to escalate criti'cism by repeating mutual overreactions of those criticisms because of poor understanding between the two countries. The United States and Japan share a history of almost coming to blows because of mutual misunderstanding. In additi'on, China heightened the hostile sentilnent between the United States and Japan through skillful diplomatic strategies and the utilization of public opinion based on the ideas expressed in SLln Tsu, 17leArt of Wal:,(22) such as "to win 100 victories in 100 battles is not the acme of skill; to subdue the enemy without fighting is the  acme of skill." Sun Teu also said, "what is of supreme importance in war is to attack the enemy's strategy; next best is to disrupt his alliances; and the next best is to attack his army. The worst policy is to attack citi'es. Attack citi'es only when there is no alternati've."

Conclusion

        Finally, even in the 1930s when antiJapanism prevailed, some intellectuals, sensible journalists, and people in financial and religi'ous circles understood the internal condi'ti'ons of China and regarded Japan as "the only stable power in the Far East able to keep peace in Asia." In 1935 one of these,Van A MacMurray, American Ainbassador to China submitted " IZze Developments A~~ectiag Acaerican Poh'cyh the Far East to the Department of State." However, his opinions were shelved by Stanley K Hornbeck, who was in charge of the Far East poh'cy and an anti'Japanese hawk Currently the United States is highly interested in the Chinese market and China is being excessively nati:onalisti'c. I would like to conclude by introducing MadMurray's memorandum, which looks back over Japan's entry into the War, and contains suggesti'ons that may be extremely useful in considering future relati'ons between the United States and Japan.(23)

        MacMurray states that the Washington System was torpedoed not by Japan, but by China and the great powers of the West led by the United States. He says that China weakened the Washington System because domesti'c elements used nationalism as a domesti'c and foreign poli'cy plank on wlu'ch to extend their own influence. Although the United States did not have 91 critical interests in China, it let the Washington System collapse by its consistently ingratiating but ineffective attitude toward Chinese nati'onalism.Britain, too, considered only the maintenance of its own interests in China and let the Washington Systeln collapse. But a stable international society cannot be realized unless all countries observe internati'onal laws and treaties and implement any modifications by fiked procedures, MacMurray points out. In seeking to recover own customs rights abolish th , e extratenitorial rights of another country, or retain territory, internati'onal laws or treaties cannot be sacrificed on the altar of nati'onalism no matter what the reason. Since Japan had criti'cal interests in China, it began taking invasive action in response to the collapse of the Washington System.

       Although this could not be supported, it was understandable. Unless China, the United States, and other Western countri'es observed international laws and treati'es too, Japan would inevitably be pushed fhrther and fhrth er into a corner and toward a USJapanese War. Although Japan would be defeated in a US-Japanese war regardless of how well it fought, the victorious United States would be embarrassed by a new problem -- the hostile attitude of the Soviet Union in the Far East -- just what it didn't intend. US hopes that China became a d emocratic country would be betrayed, and if the United States which assisted China and defeated Japan, became the dominator of the F~ East in place of Japan, the hostility of China, which saw itself in a central position in the world, would be directed toward the United States. Sooner or later Japan would revive as one of the strongest powers in the world despite  its defeat in the USJapanese war. 32

Footnotes
:
5 . Takeuchi, Shigetoshi, Sekai ~i'~len Shoui~ Beikloku no Jo~~o CThe US in the Early Stages of World War F), Senpo Yorokn Cljngering Scent on the Overcoaf'), I~ilyuroku C1Reminiscenses"), Sekaj T~isen no M~zb (World War r) (Yiushukai; 1929), p.30. For histcrical changes in public opinion about Japan, see E. Tupper and G.E. McReynolds, Japan h Amelican hlbh'c Opiaion (Clark University Press, 1937) .
6. 'The Foreign Press on the GermanJapanese War," a telegram sent to the 93 Minister of Foreign Affairs, Kato, by Ambassador Chinda (August 14, 1996), The Foreign Diplomacy Archr've.
9. Ibid., pp. 198-227.
10. ALfred Thayer Mahan, IZle hfl:uence ofSea Power upon E~~iory; 1660-1783 (Little Brown, 1890), p.71, 138, Walter La Feber, IZle NewEmp~le -An htexpretati'on ofAmelican ~oansjon. 1860-1893 (Cornell University Press, 1963), pp.91-93.
1 1 . Asada, Sadao, Aa2enban C]assjcs Libraly 8 - AJ~~ed T M~zhan (Kenkyusha, 1980), pp.277-287.
12. George T. Davis, A Na vy Second to None: IZze Development ofModern Amelican Naval Pohby(Harcourt Brace, 1940), pp.75-76.
1 3. Howard K Beale, Theodore Boosevelt and Bise of Amelica to Wor]d Power(Colli'er Books, 1956), p.23.
14. Os~kaAsaijNewspaper(May 10, 1915).
15. Thomas F. Millard, Our Eastem Questibn (Yale University Press, 1916), p p.278-279.
16. Mira Wilkins, The liole of US Bushess, Edited by Dorothy Borg and Okamoto , Shumpei, PeaH Hal:bor as H~to~y : Japanese-Ameriican Be]ati'ons 1931-1941 (Columbia University Press, 1973), p.374.
17. U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Historical Statisti'cs of the United States -Colonial Thnes to 1970 (Bureau ofthe CENSUS, 1972), p.903, p.906.
18. For German maneuvers, see Teunoda, Jun, Manshu Mondej to Kokubo Hoshia CIVlanchurian Problems and Nati'onal Defense Policy") (Hara Shobo, 1967), pp.386-399.
19. See R.A Thompson, The Yellow PeriZ, 1890-1924 (1978) and Hashikawa, Bunzo, sto~yoftbe YellowPeril(1976).
20. Hata, op.cit., p.67.
2 1 . Nagao, Ryuichi, An2erika no Oh'shi~jin to Kyokuto - La~caore to sono Jld~j ("American Intellectuak and the Far East - Lattimore and His Thnes") (The University of Tokyo Press, 1985), pp.7-17. According to pp.227-228. Lattimore was accused of being (at least a former) communist 94 spy for the USSR by Joseph R. McCarthy on March 30, 1950. This accusati'on was based on Lattimore's contacts with Russia when he was cln'ef editor of Pad~icA~~~air:s, and also because of his alleged instigati'on of riots by pro-Soviet Chinese students, a visit to Yan'an in 1937, his influence on Warres when he participated in the Warres Mission in 1944, suspicions about his involvement in the AJnerasja pubh'cation, and his contact with the leaders of the Japan Communist Payty when he visited Japan in 1945 and 1946.
22. Samuel B. Griffith (translator and editor), Sun l~u. 17ze Art of War (Oxiord University Press, 1963), Chapter enti'tled Att~ck by Stratagem.
23. Edi'ted with an introducti'on and notes by Arthur Waldron, How tbe Peace was Lost; IZle Developments A~~ectiag Amenbaa Poh~y h the Far East, Prepared for the State Department by Ainbassador John Van Antwerp MacMurray (Hoover Insti'tute Press, 1992). Ub